Arch. Pol. Fish.     Vol. 7     Fasc. 1            1999      p. 15-33


USE OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS IN FORECASTING FISH CATCH IN SOME POMERANIAN LAKES

Władysław Ciepielewski

The Stanisław Sakowicz Inland Fisheries Institute in Olsztyn

ABSTRACT. Usefulness of time series analysis in forecasting fish catch in some Pomeranian lakes was tested. Forecasting accuracy one year ahead was high for steadily exploited species such as bream, pike-perch or pike, and may be useful in fishery practice.

Key words: AUTOCORRELATIONS, AUTOREGRESSION, CATCH, FISHING GEARS, EXPLOITATION